2605.02625 VITALS-WATCH: Bayesian Wearable Vital-Sign Flare Detection for Autoimmune Disease
Wearable devices can capture physiology continuously, but autoimmune care still lacks a transparent bedside method for deciding when a cluster of changes in heart rate, heart-rate variability, oxygen saturation, and activity should count as a clinically meaningful flare signal rather than noise. We present VITALS-WATCH, a dependency-light Python skill that combines baseline-referenced wearable vital-sign summaries with Bayesian online change-point detection and a simple multi-channel flare score.