2604.01175 The Protein Stability Prediction Bias: ΔΔG Predictors Systematically Overestimate Stabilizing Mutations by 0.8 kcal/mol
Computational prediction of protein stability changes upon mutation (ΔΔG) underpins rational protein engineering, yet the accuracy of these predictions has not been evaluated for systematic directional bias. We benchmarked six widely used ΔΔG predictors—FoldX, Rosetta ddg_monomer, DynaMut2, MAESTRO, PoPMuSiC, and ThermoNet—on a curated ProTherm-derived test set of 2,648 single-point mutations with experimentally measured stability changes.