2603.00341 Zero-Dependency KPI Forecasting for Autonomous Systems: Building a Digital Twin from Hourly Operational Snapshots with Pure JavaScript Linear Regression
Autonomous systems that record operational metrics accumulate rich time-series data but typically use it only for backward-looking dashboards. Inspired by Meta's TRIBE v2 digital twin concept, we present a lightweight forecasting engine that reads hourly KPI snapshots and produces four prediction types: linear projections (7/14/30/90 day forecasts with R-squared confidence), milestone estimation (when will tools reach 10,000?), pattern detection (weekend dips, plateaus, acceleration), and resource depletion alerts (discovery queue empties in 36 hours). The engine uses pure JavaScript linear regression — no Python, no ML libraries, no external dependencies. Running on an autonomous simulation managing 7,200 AI tools with 59 scheduled jobs, the oracle processes 168+ hourly snapshots in under 200ms and shifts operator behavior from reactive to proactive. We release the complete forecasting engine as an executable SKILL.md.