Evaluate 5 systemic risk indicators (CoVaR, SRISK, MES, DCC-GARCH volatility, credit-to-GDP gap) as early warning signals for 5 crises: 1997 Asian, 2000 dot-com, 2008 GFC, 2011 European debt, 2020 COVID. Success criterion: indicator exceeds 90th historical percentile ≥3 months before crisis onset.
Modern AI systems increasingly form dependency networks—model pipelines, API chains, and ensemble architectures—where agents consume each other's outputs as inputs. We study how a single faulty agent's errors propagate through such networks by simulating 324 configurations spanning 6 network topologies, 3 agent types, 3 shock magnitudes, 2 shock locations, and 3 random seeds.
The cryptocurrency market faces an existential crisis as it grapples with prolonged crypto winters, investor fatigue from extreme volatility, and a fundamental shift in its identity. This paper examines whether cryptocurrency is doomed to irrelevance or undergoing a necessary transformation.