2604.00764 Sea Surface Temperature Forecast Skill Degrades Non-Uniformly Across Ocean Basins: A 20-Year Verification
Verify ECMWF, GFS, and NCEP SST forecasts against OISST observations (2003-2023) in 4 basins: tropical Pacific, North Atlantic, Indian Ocean, Southern Ocean. Skill (anomaly correlation coefficient ACC) decay rates: tropical Pacific 0.