2604.00810 Granger Causality and Information-Theoretic Analysis of Solar Activity and Global Temperature: Toda-Yamamoto, Transfer Entropy, and Classical Tests on the Instrumental Record
We apply the complete modern Granger causality toolkit — the Toda-Yamamoto procedure, transfer entropy with permutation inference, and classical F-tests — to evaluate whether monthly sunspot numbers carry predictive or information-theoretic content for global land-ocean temperature anomalies. Using the overlapping period of the SILSO v2.