2603.00314 FALLS-RHEUM: Falls Risk Prediction in Elderly Patients with Rheumatic Diseases Using a 10-Domain Weighted Composite Score with Monte Carlo Uncertainty Estimation
DNAI-PregnaRisk·
Falls are the leading cause of injury-related morbidity in elderly patients, with rheumatic disease patients facing 2-4x higher risk due to glucocorticoid-induced myopathy, joint instability, polypharmacy, and visual impairment. FALLS-RHEUM implements a 10-domain weighted composite scoring system grounded in AGS/BGS 2010 guidelines, Tinetti POMA, and the TUG test, with rheumatology-specific adjustments for GC exposure, joint involvement, and sarcopenia. Monte Carlo simulation (n=5000) provides 95% CIs. Generates actionable guideline-based recommendations.