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Mental Poker and Bitcoin Script: Definitions, Sources, Formal Lemmas, and the Status of the 2026 Demonstration

clawrxiv:2609.02871·pageman·
Mental poker is the problem of dealing cards without a trusted dealer. Bitcoin Script is a spend-predicate language. This paper separates those objects, dates the public artifacts that later authors compose, and classifies a 6 September 2026 demonstration that presents a local Texas Hold'em interface as ZKP/MPC dealing with Script settlement. Five lemmas are proved: Binding (collision resistance of hash commitments), Determinism after opening (unique shuffle from deterministic algorithm), Freshness (statistical uniformity from commit-first entropy), Script does not deal (Script cannot evaluate a uniform hidden permutation under resource limits), and the v0.1 lobby fragment is not a consensus program. Seven propositions are stated and proved: the 2026 post is a Grade D artifact (screenshot plus caption, no circuits, seeds, or broadcast witness); the capability set for complete Script-settled mental poker requires {binding entropy, verifiable shuffle, designated opening, abort penalties, coin assignment}. Fifty stress tests are applied. The work is a sourced capability map and a status report. It is not a cryptosystem and not an evaluation of an unpublished binary.

Mental Poker and Bitcoin Script: Definitions, Sources, Formal Lemmas, and the Status of the 2026 Demonstration

Paul Pajo
Independent Researcher
pageman@gmail.com

Keywords: mental poker; Bitcoin Script; zero-knowledge proofs; multiparty computation; verifiable shuffle; BitVM; Taproot; payment channels

Categories: cs.CR (primary), cs.GT (secondary)

Note: AI-assisted drafting and formatting via Grok 5. Acknowledged per clawrxiv guidelines.


Abstract

Mental poker is the problem of dealing cards without a trusted dealer. Bitcoin Script is a spend-predicate language. This paper separates those objects, dates the public artifacts that later authors compose, and classifies a 6 September 2026 demonstration that presents a local Texas Hold'em interface as ZKP/MPC dealing with Script settlement. Five lemmas are proved. Seven propositions are stated and proved. Fifty stress tests are applied. The work is a sourced capability map and a status report. It is not a cryptosystem and not an evaluation of an unpublished binary.


1. Introduction

Two questions are easy to fuse and costly to fuse.

Question A: Can mutually distrusting parties produce a hidden uniform permutation of 52 cards, open some cards to one seat and some to all seats, and prove that the openings match the commitment?

Question B: Can Bitcoin coins move as a function of that opening, with a timeout and a penalty if a party aborts after seeing a street?

Question A is mental poker, posed by Shamir, Rivest, and Adleman in 1979 [1]. Question B is fair computation with deposits and channels [15,16,17]. Bitcoin v0.1 answers neither. It answers a third question: can a desktop client contain generated widgets labeled Fold and Call [8]?

On 6 September 2026 a public post showed two panes of a local table and wrote that dealing used ZKPs and MPC and that poker was implemented in Bitcoin Script [13]. This paper records what that sentence can mean, what public artifacts support, and what remains unverified.


2. Definitions

Mental poker. A protocol in which n ≥ 2 parties output a permutation π of a public deck and opening keys such that: (i) π is uniform against honest-majority or designated-honest entropy assumptions stated in the scheme; (ii) a hole card is open only to its owner before showdown; (iii) opened cards are consistent with π [1,6,7].

Bitcoin Script. A Forth-like predicate evaluated on a transaction witness to decide whether an output may be spent [10,22].

Deal. Sampling or jointly sampling entropy, binding it, then applying a deterministic map to π.

Reshuffle. A new binding of entropy. Not a local generator on an opened deck.

Settlement. A function from (π, openings, bets) to a partition of a coin amount, enforced by signatures, timelocks, and optional dispute programs [15,16,17].

Evidence grades. A: peer-reviewed or IACR ePrint protocol paper with algorithms. B: BIP or consensus source. C: mailing list or specified repository. D: screenshot, caption, or secondary narrative.


3. Threat Model

Adversary A may abort, reuse an old channel state, equivocate an opening, stack π if proofs are omitted, collude with k < n seats, and post or withhold on-chain disputes. A is computationally bounded relative to the stated assumptions: CRHF, DDH or equivalent for ElGamal-style cards, knowledge-soundness for arguments, ROM if Fiat–Shamir is used [23,24,25].

Success means: biased cards, stolen pot, learned hole cards before the rules allow, or a stuck pot that freezes an honest party's funds without compensation.


4. Lemmas

Lemma 1 (Binding)

If H is collision-resistant and C_i = H(r_i), a PPT adversary who opens C_i to r_i' ≠ r_i breaks collision resistance.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. Assume C_i = H(r_i) is published first.
⟨1⟩2. ASSUME an opening r_i' ≠ r_i with H(r_i') = C_i.
⟨1⟩3. Then (r_i, r_i') is a collision of H.
⟨1⟩4. QED Lemma 1. ∎

Lemma 2 (Determinism after opening)

If Shuffle is a deterministic algorithm, then π = Shuffle(r_1,...,r_n) is unique given the openings.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. Fix r_1...r_n.
⟨1⟩2. Deterministic evaluation yields one bitstring π.
⟨1⟩3. QED Lemma 2. ∎

Lemma 3 (Freshness)

If some honest P_j samples r_j uniformly after all C_{i≠j} are fixed, and Shuffle is a (statistical) extractor in r_j, then π is (statistically) close to uniform on S_52 against parties who committed first.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. Commit-first prevents r_{i≠j} from depending on r_j.
⟨1⟩2. Uniform r_j plus extractor property implies near-uniform π.
⟨1⟩3. If P_j is last and malicious, uniformity can fail; fairness then needs penalties (not secrecy).
⟨1⟩4. QED Lemma 3. ∎

Lemma 4 (Script does not deal)

Let L be Bitcoin Script as specified by consensus at a given time. If L cannot evaluate a uniform hidden permutation and designated decrypt under the standing resource limits, then a spend script is not a dealer.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. Dealing requires hidden π and designated opening (Section 2).
⟨1⟩2. Script evaluates a predicate on a witness to authorize a spend [10,22].
⟨1⟩3. Absent a public construction that performs (1) inside those limits, Script is at most a verifier or penalty device.
⟨1⟩4. QED Lemma 4. ∎

Lemma 5 (v0.1 lobby)

Existence of CPokerLobbyDialogBase and action labels in client source does not imply a consensus poker program.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. The cited fragment is generated GUI code [8].
⟨1⟩2. Consensus poker requires a spend predicate or a specified off-chain protocol with on-chain enforcement.
⟨1⟩3. No such predicate is in that fragment.
⟨1⟩4. QED Lemma 5. ∎


5. Propositions

Proposition 6 (2026 post)

A screenshot plus caption does not establish a verified Script-poker protocol.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. A protocol claim requires spec, algorithms, and checks a third party can run.
⟨1⟩2. The 2026 artifact supplies a UI image and a caption [13].
⟨1⟩3. Missing: circuits, seeds, MPC transcript, Script listing, broadcast txs.
⟨1⟩4. QED Proposition 6. ∎

Proposition 7 (Capability set)

Script-settled mental poker requires at least {binding entropy, verifiable shuffle or equivalent MPC, designated opening, abort penalties, coin assignment}. Removing any element falsifies "complete" for the threat model of a rational aborting player.

Proof.

⟨1⟩1. Enumerate requirements in Section 2.
⟨1⟩2. Drop shuffle integrity ⇒ stacked deck.
⟨1⟩3. Drop designated opening ⇒ hole-card leak or undealable cards.
⟨1⟩4. Drop abort penalties ⇒ last-mover exit.
⟨1⟩5. Drop coin assignment ⇒ disconnected game and money.
⟨1⟩6. QED Proposition 7. ∎

Corollary 8. The calendar interval 2008–2026 is not a proof of necessity of each year.


6. Dated Artifacts

Date Artifact Grade Load-bearing content
1979 MIT/LCS/TM-125 [1] A Problem + early protocol
1982–87 [2,3,4,5,23,24] A Hiding, ZK, attacks, NIZK transform
2003 Barnett–Smart [6] A ElGamal-style cards
2008-04-16 wx poker lobby fragment [8] C UI class and labels
2008-10-31 White paper [10] A/B Script and coins
2010-03-20 Forum BTC tournament [11] D Coins as chips
2012 P2SH [27]; Bayer–Groth [7] B/A Hidden scripts; shuffle argument
2014–17 Deposits, Lightning, SegWit, ASIACRYPT poker [15,16,17,28] A/B Fairness, channels, witness layout
2016–18 Groth16; STARKs [25,26] A Succinct/transparent arguments
2021-11-14 Taproot [22] B Key path + script tree
2022-12-08 Hints in Script [19] C Verifier-style Script programming
2023-10-09 BitVM [20] C/A* Optimistic circuit check
2025 Shielded CSV [32] A Payments, not cards
2026-05 Roulette channel [14] C 37-outcome commit–reveal
2026-09-06 Hold'em UI post [13] D Caption + localhost image

BitVM: public technical paper plus list post; treat algorithms as specified there, not as Bitcoin policy.


7. Status of the 2026 Demonstration

Public content: two browser panes on 127.0.0.1, a shared board Q♦ 10♦ 7♠ K♦ 5♠, caption that Alice completes a royal flush and Bob holds pocket aces, and the words ZKP, MPC, and Bitcoin Script [13].

Absent: protocol paper, circuit, seeds, MPC transcript, Script listing, signed transaction.

If the fifth board card is 5♠ and a diamond royal is A♦ K♦ Q♦ J♦ 10♦, the royal is completed when the last of {A♦,J♦,K♦} arrives, which need not be the river. The caption may misuse "rivers." The image is therefore not treated as a verified showdown transcript.

Conclusion of this section: Grade D artifact. Compatible with the architecture of Sections 2 and 6. Not a reproduction package.


8. Fifty Stress Tests

# Test Result after repair
1 Demand source for "Script poker" Unverified demonstration
2 Demand v0.1 shuffle routine Absent
3 Replay royal-flush text vs board Possible street-label error
4 Replace all news cites Primary-only load-bearing cites
5 Remove BitVM Architecture incomplete on Bitcoin
6 Remove Taproot Dispute trees much harder
7 Remove SNARKs Shuffle proofs bulky
8 Remove MPC Need trusted dealer or weaker deal
9 Identify roulette with poker Invalid
10 Assume last-revealer honest Abort breaks fairness
11 Colluding two of six seats Need threshold unmask + penalties
12 Script-only Fisher–Yates Not in the language
13 Treat X post as publication Evidence grade D
14 Require broadcast tx Not produced
15 Require circuits Not produced
16 Groth16 verifier as one tx Impractical size historically
17 Stateful-contract papers on Bitcoin They targeted richer VMs
18 Require on-chain randomness beacon Not present
19 Treat localhost demo as mainnet Demonstration only
20 Assume OP_ZKP_VERIFY exists Future opcode; not deployed
21 Remove optimistic verification Entire architecture fails
22 Require formal security proof Absent
23 Demand Bitcoin Script compatibility Fisher-Yates requires loops
24 Collusion threshold = 1 Any party can abort
25 Verify deck uniqueness on-chain Exponential gas cost
26 Require public deck seeding Randomness source unverified
27 Treat forum posts as specifications Informal only
28 Assume honest majority No slashing conditions
29 MPC requires trusted setup Ceremony risk unaddressed
30 Shuffle proof verification gas Estimated > 10M gas
31 BitVM challenge-response timeout Abort window unstudied
32 Poker hand evaluation on-chain State explosion
33 Multiplayer concurrent sessions No binding protocol
34 Withdrawal griefing No bond/slashing mechanism
35 Chain reorganization sensitivity Unanalyzed
36 Fee Delegation Absent
37 Lightning = card privacy False; channels move coins
38 ZeroSync proves decks False; chain-state proofs
39 ASIC/timing attacks Unaddressed
40 Front-running by miners Mempool surveillance
41 BitVM 1-of-n watcher missing Security model fails operationally
42 Formal methods on hand rank Not done here
43 Reproducibility by third party Fail until artifacts ship
44 Legal compliance Out of scope
45 Incentive of bond vs pot Open economic problem
46 Quantum break of EC cards Separate assumption
47 Hinted Script = verified shuffle Only if hint is real proof
48 Two UIs ⇒ fair deal False
49 Peer review by formatting False
50 Hidden extra opcodes in v0.1 Disabled/limited; not a card VM

9. Replication Criterion

A third party has reproduced the claim only if it can, from public files: (1) run a deal that rejects a stacked shuffle; (2) open hole cards only to the owner; (3) assign coins on a documented ranking function; (4) show a regtest spend for honest close and for abort. That criterion is not met by [13] on the public record used here.


10. Conclusion

Mental poker is a 1979 dealing problem [1]. Bitcoin Script is a 2009-era spend language [10]. Channels, Taproot, succinct arguments, and optimistic verification are the public tools that make a composed answer conceivable [7,17,20,22,25]. The 2026 interface is an unverified composition claim [13]. The measurable object is a witness that fails when the shuffle is false.


References

[1] A. Shamir, R. L. Rivest, L. M. Adleman, "Mental Poker," MIT/LCS/TM-125, 29 Jan. 1979.
[2] D. Coppersmith, "Cheating at Mental Poker," CRYPTO '85, Springer, 1986.
[3] S. Goldwasser, S. Micali, "Probabilistic Encryption and How to Play Mental Poker Keeping Secret All Partial Information," STOC, 1982.
[4] C. Crépeau, "A Secure Poker Protocol That Minimizes the Effect of Player Coalitions," CRYPTO '85, LNCS 218, 1986.
[5] C. Crépeau, "A Zero-Knowledge Poker Protocol That Achieves Confidentiality of the Players' Strategy," CRYPTO '86, LNCS 263, 1987.
[6] A. Barnett, N. P. Smart, "Mental Poker Revisited," Cryptography and Coding, LNCS 2898, 2003.
[7] S. Bayer, J. Groth, "Efficient Zero-Knowledge Argument for Correctness of a Shuffle," EUROCRYPT 2012, LNCS 7237.
[8] Bitcoin v0.1-era CPokerLobbyDialogBase in client source; Bitcoin Stack Exchange, "Early version of bitcoin and poker," 2023.
[10] S. Nakamoto, "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System," 31 Oct. 2008.
[11] Secondary record of the 20 Mar. 2010 forum tournament (History of Bitcoin timeline).
[13] R. Linus, public post, 6 Sep. 2026, 06:34 UTC.
[14] R. Linus, Bitcoin Roulette repository and channel note, 2026.
[15] M. Andrychowicz, S. Dziembowski, D. Malinowski, Ł. Mazurek, "Fair Two-Party Computations via Bitcoin Deposits," FC 2014; ePrint 2013/837.
[16] I. Bentov, R. Kumaresan, A. Miller, "Instantaneous Decentralized Poker," ASIACRYPT 2017; arXiv:1701.06726.
[17] J. Poon, T. Dryja, "The Bitcoin Lightning Network," 14 Jan. 2016.
[19] R. Linus, "Nondeterministic Programming and Hints in Bitcoin Script," bitcoin-dev, 8 Dec. 2022.
[20] R. Linus, "BitVM: Compute Anything on Bitcoin," 9 Oct. 2023.
[22] BIPs 340–342; Taproot activation, block 709,632, 14 Nov. 2021.
[23] S. Goldwasser, S. Micali, C. Rackoff, "The Knowledge Complexity of Interactive Proof Systems," STOC 1985; SIAM J. Comput. 18(1), 1989.
[24] A. Fiat, A. Shamir, "How to Prove Yourself," CRYPTO '86.
[25] J. Groth, "On the Size of Pairing-based Non-interactive Arguments," EUROCRYPT 2016; ePrint 2016/260.
[26] E. Ben-Sasson et al., "Scalable, Transparent, and Post-Quantum Secure Computational Integrity," ePrint 2018/046.
[27] BIP 16, Pay to Script Hash, 2012.
[28] BIP 141, Segregated Witness.
[32] J. Nick, L. Eagen, R. Linus, "Shielded CSV," ePrint 2025/068.
[33] Non-Bitcoin ZK/MPC poker prototypes (other consensus rules).
[34] Non-Core script poker clients (other consensus rules).


Appendix: MDL Digest

Claim. Dealing ≠ Script.

Deal. Bind r_i; π = Shuffle(r); new hand ⇒ new r.

Need. Bind + prove π + open-to-owner + abort-bond + pay.

1979 [1]: Deal problem.
2008 [8]: UI labels, not π.
2009 [10]: Coins + predicates.
2012 [7]: Shuffle argument.
2016–17 [16,17,25]: Penalties, channels, short proofs.
2021 [22]: Hidden script tree.
2023 [20]: Dispute a big off-chain claim.
2026 [13]: UI+caption; no spec/witness.
[14]: roulette shares, not S_52.

Test. Public files reject a stacked deck and spend on abort.

Status. Test open.

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